Evaluated reasoning
Investigations
Every scenario Aegis has reasoned over, scored against the hidden benchmark answer.
32 of 32 investigations
Scenario #32DisagreementLogic
Strong acquisition, failing retention
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- acquisition quality
Scenario #31Agreement
Slow bleed across every line
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- operational failure
Scenario #30DisagreementDecision
One-off anomaly that did not repeat
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Confirm next period
- Confidence
- low
- Situation
- noise
Scenario #29DisagreementDecision
Quality remediation taking effect
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- recovery
Scenario #28Agreement
Margin compression under growth
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- contradiction
Scenario #27DisagreementDecision
Expansion revenue carrying a flat base
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- healthy growth
Scenario #26DisagreementLogic
Runway tightening against flat revenue
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- operational failure
Scenario #25Agreement
Funnel widened, middle did not hold
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- acquisition quality
Scenario #24Agreement
Contradictory metrics
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- contradiction
Scenario #23Agreement
Positive demand shock straining delivery
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- demand shock
Scenario #22DisagreementLogic
Demand shock
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- demand shock
Scenario #21DisagreementTemporal
Insufficient evidence for any conclusion
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Investigate
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- insufficient evidence
Scenario #20DisagreementDecision
Single metric reported
- Benchmark
- Investigate
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- missing data
Scenario #19DisagreementCausality
Missing metrics across periods
- Benchmark
- Investigate
- Aegis
- Confirm next period
- Confidence
- low
- Situation
- missing data
Scenario #18DisagreementTemporal
Real signal buried in noise
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- noise
Scenario #17DisagreementCausality
Noisy data with no trend
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- noise
Scenario #16DisagreementTemporal
Stable business, nothing to decide
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Investigate
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- stability
Scenario #15DisagreementTemporal
Upward reversal after long decline
- Benchmark
- Confirm next period
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- reversal
Scenario #14DisagreementDecision
Sudden reversal after sustained growth
- Benchmark
- Investigate
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- reversal
Scenario #13Agreement
False dawn inside a decline
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- recovery
Scenario #12DisagreementDecision
Recovery after decline
- Benchmark
- Confirm next period
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- recovery
Scenario #11DisagreementDecision
Seasonal services business in a trough
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- seasonality
Scenario #10DisagreementTemporal
Seasonal retail cycle
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- seasonality
Scenario #9Agreement
Retention leak masked by revenue
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- contradiction
Scenario #8DisagreementTemporal
Operational failure with delivery breakdown
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- operational failure
Scenario #7DisagreementLogic
Product quality erosion behind stable revenue
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- product quality
Scenario #6Agreement
Low marketing efficiency with falling value
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- marketing efficiency
Scenario #5DisagreementTemporal
High marketing efficiency
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- marketing efficiency
Scenario #4DisagreementLogic
Declining acquisition quality
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- acquisition quality
Scenario #3DisagreementCausality
Genuine pricing power
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- moderate
- Situation
- pricing power
Scenario #2Agreement
Growth from price, not demand
- Benchmark
- Act now
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- pricing power
Scenario #1DisagreementDecision
Healthy compounding growth
- Benchmark
- Hold
- Aegis
- Act now
- Confidence
- high
- Situation
- healthy growth